Game Totals

JAX @ MIA 49
HOU @ IND 48.5
ARI @ BUF 48
TEN @ CHI 44.5
WAS @ TB 44
PIT @ ATL 42

Highest Team Totals

BUF 27.5
MIA 26.5
HOU 25.75
CHI 24.25
CIN 24.
TB 23.75

Ownership Projections

QB

Anthony Richardson $6.3k
DK Ownership 14%

Jayden Daniels $5.7k
DK Ownership 10%

Caleb Williams $5.9k
DK Ownership 9%

RB

Rachaad White $6.3k
DK Ownership 26%

Ken Walker $6.1k
DK Ownership 20%

Alvin Kamara $6.7k
DK Ownership 18%

Chuba Hubbard $5.3k
DK Ownership 18%

Bijan Robinson $7.7k
DK Ownership 17%

WR

Tyreek Hill $8.7k
DK Ownership 26%

Drake London $6k
DK Ownership 17%

Terry McLaurin $5.6k
DK Ownership 16%

Michael Pittman $6.8k
DK Ownership 16%

Malik Nabers $5.9k
DK Ownership 15%

TE

Evan Engram $5.5k
DK Ownership 18%

Kyle Pitts $4.6k
DK Ownership 15%

Trey McBride $6.1k
DK Ownership 8%

Games to Target

JAX @ MIA

Spread: -3.5
Total: 49.5

This game should provide a ton of Fireworks. The Dolphins were one the most explosive teams in Football last year averaging 6.4 yards per play which was 2nd highest in the league. They also averaged 27.9 points per game which was 3rd most. That number jumped to 31.9 points at home.

The Jaguars ran at a high pace running the 6th most plays per game. They 22.2 points per game but that number actually increased on the road. Trevor Lawrence dealt with a number of injuries but comes into the season healthy with some newly added deep threats.

The Miami defense line has taken a step back and is currently ranked 25th on PFF.

I will have some sort of piece from this game in at least 70% of my lineups. I’d expect Tyreek to be one of the highest owned on the slate. I like using him AND either Achane or Mostert as bring backs from Lawrence stacks. The Jaguars side should certainly be lower owned outside of Engram. I like Lawrence with a WR and Engram opposite the afformentioned Dolphins. Etienne/Hill is my favorite skinny stack.

Favorite Plays

Tyreek Hill $8.7k
Malik Washington $3k

DeVon Achane $6.8k
Raheem Mostert $6.4k

Trevor Lawrence $6.2k
Brian Thomas $4.7k
Evan Engram $5.5k

Travis Etienne $7.2k

ARI @ BUF

Spread: BUF -6
Total: 48

Buffalo’s production slowed down a bit once Joe Brady took over as OC and they’ve vacated the 2nd most targets in the league. They still have Josh Allen and that’s good enough especially against a putrid Arizona defense.

I expect Arizona to take a step forward on offense with the addition of Marvin. Their defense on the other hand will likely still be terrible forcing them to throw often.

Allen’s price tag will likely keep his ownership in check and his pass catchers are cheap. Kincaid is slightly expensive for a TE and is the most likely to be paired with Allen. I like that stack for smaller field tournaments. Conner are my favorite bring backs.

The Kyler side absolutely viable as well. I prefer him with one of Harrison or McBride and you can add Wilson or Dortch for a cheaper piece. Kincaid and Cook would be the preferred bring backs.

Favorite Plays

Josh Allen $8k

Khalil Shakir $5,100
Keon Coleman $5k
Dalton Kincaid $5.8k

Kyler Murray $6.4k
McBride $6.1k

James Conner $6.2k

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